Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleZ.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) 81.6%+69.7ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+69.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
21 août 26, 6:5228 août 26, 6:46
Tendances
0.3%
0.3%
Règles
“Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).
- It’s a reasoning model positioned for coding, sustained agentic work, and production use, with a 1,048,576-token context window, a 131,072-token output cap, and text/image/video input — listed as stealth/ox-alpha on OpenRouter.
- It’s free during this preview window, with the operator claiming near-unlimited rate limits and 100 trillion tokens/day of serving capacity.
- There is some buzz on Twitter that it is frontier or even better at coding.
- See also: @/Sketchy/what-will-the-release-name-of-ox-al
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 255,6 k €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 143,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 130,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,8 M €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) à 82% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? doit être résolu le 28 août 2026.
- Comment Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : “Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).