Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 juil. 2026, 01:13 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleClarence Thomas 22.8%-0.3%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 jours
Obsolète22 juil. 23, 13:071 janv. 27, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Clarence Thomas23%
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Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
- The justices are listed here in order of seniority.
- I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.