Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Politique américaineCriminalité et justice2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Samuel Alito 58.8%En tête parmi 9 options
Samuel Alito 58.8%Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+8.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète22 juil. 23, 13:07 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
- The justices are listed here in order of seniority.
- I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.
