Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Politique américainePolitiqueCriminalité et justice4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Samuel Alito 58.8%En tête parmi 10 options
Samuel Alito 58.8%Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-1.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 nov. 22, 22:23 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsWhich STF judge will leave the court with less than 74 years old?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurRègles
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
