Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Samuel Alito 60%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 22, 22:23 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
0.1%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketWho will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
Manifold MarketsNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Samuel Alito à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome