If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
One-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueÉlection2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83%
Prévisionnistes
158
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète10 mars 24, 00:19 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many justices will Trump appoint to SCOTUS?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsIf Robert F Kennedy Jr serves under Trump, will he get fired or forced to resign within 2 years?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)