Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 79.9%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète31 juil. 24, 02:04 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.