Which models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
IAOne-Off4jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleKimi K3 97%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+47.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
7 sept. 26, 11:23 UTC12 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of 2026 will there be any European model that ranks higher than Mistral Medium 3.5 on arena.ai agent arena?
Manifold MarketsTop Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
KalshiWill Quasar 438B be listed on arena.ai in two weeks?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketRègles
If multiple variants are listed for a model (eg thinking effort), resolves at the highest variant for each model.
- Resolves N/A for all options if GPT-6 Astra is not present, and for an individual option if it is not present
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Kimi K3 à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September? doit être résolu le 12 septembre 2026.
- Comment Which models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If multiple variants are listed for a model (eg thinking effort), resolves at the highest variant for each model.