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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

RégulationIA24a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Commercial fusion power
Commercial fusion power 39.6%
En tête parmi 88 options
Prévisionnistes

274

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 jours

Obsolète
12 juin 24, 13:391 déc. 50, 20:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Commercial fusion power40%

Règles

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.

Marchés Associés

Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

22,2 k €
December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

21,7 k €
Kill everyone - Liron: 4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

633,5 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

235,7 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,632.85+2.10%EthereumETH$1,649.07+1.31%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.59%BNBBNB$594.65+1.55%XRPXRP$1.12+0.31%

Actualités Associées

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Règles

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.