Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIndia 75%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 mars 24, 11:05 UTC31 déc. 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhich country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsHow will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWill ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiRègles
resolves YES:
- if the international name in the english wikipedia article of the country remains changed for more than one week and this change is the result of a government/legislative decision of said country.
- if a successor country with a different name takes over all international contracts of its predecessor (example: Russia as successor of the Soviet Union)
- resolves NO:
- all non-resolved options by end of 2050.
- A country that ceases to exist is resolved as N/A
