Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63.2%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 15:04 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if any United Nations-recognized sovereign nation officially adopts a new national flag design by December 31, 2030.
- The flag must represent a substantive change to the design (not merely technical adjustments like color standardization or ratio changes).
- Resolution will be verified through official government announcements, legislative records, or international flag registries such as the Wikipedia List of Sovereign States by Date of Current Flag Adoption or Timeline of National Flags.
- Syria underwent a significant change to its national flag in December 2024 following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad, demonstrating that flag changes remain possible in the modern era.
- Historically, countries change or adopt new flags due to regime change, geographical change, loss of autonomy, political unions, and successions.
