Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleCuba 21.6%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 15:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, this market asks: which sovereign nation will the United States next conduct a kinetic military attack against?
- This market resolves when the US conducts a kinetic military operation against a new country not currently under active US attack.
- Iran is excluded as prior a event.
- The operation must take place before 2029-12-31.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first country against which the US conducts a qualifying military attack after February 28, 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Nithya Raman+13.0pt58%
- Karen Bass-14.0pt42%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 951,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt3%
- September 30+0.2pt0%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 750 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt29.8%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.7%
+1 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Volume total
- 31 M €
- Volume 24h
- 514,1 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.9pt62%
- October 31-6.0pt33%
- September 30-6.0pt9%
+17 résultats de plus
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Georgia Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will the US strike next? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Cuba à 21.6% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will the US strike next? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will the US strike next? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Which country will the US strike next? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, this market asks: which sovereign nation will the United States next conduct a kinetic military attack against?