Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTransfer at a wet market 53.1%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
95
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète17 sept. 23, 16:16 UTC31 déc. 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves in the same way as @/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- Update 2025-21-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on "In the wild":
- Refers to any location not listed in other options.
- Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirmed specific scenarios that would fall under a non-zoonotic origin (which users in the thread associated with a lab origin).
- These scenarios include if the pandemic virus:
- Was created from scratch.
