Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2030 33.1%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 25, 13:26 UTC1 janv. 27, 14:22 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will I get my "BritCard" ID?
Manifold MarketsThe anti-vax market: Which vaccines become less available in the US, 2025-2026
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.
- This market resolves YES for every outstanding year if reliable reports come in of at least 1000 such ID cards being issued which are not part of a proof of concept trial.
- Otherwise each option will resolve NO on the 1st of January of the relevant year.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 617,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 821,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 107,7 k €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2030 à 33% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.