Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2030 55.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 25, 13:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 14:27 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsBayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.
- I will not be rushing to be the first to get one, but if circumstances require me to get one (e.g. if I have to have one to apply for a job) I will not avoid signing up.
- When will I receive my digital ID?
- As I should be relatively empowered in making this decision I will not be betting on this market.
- This market resolves YES for every outstanding year if I receive my digital ID.
- Otherwise each option will resolve NO on the 1st of January of the relevant year.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 8,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 136,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will I get my "BritCard" ID? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2030 à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will I get my "BritCard" ID? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will I get my "BritCard" ID? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will I get my "BritCard" ID? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.