Prévision communautaire actuelle
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%En tête parmi 10 options
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 24, 07:23 UTC2 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
The market will resolve positively when any Manifold question or comment is posted by a human user who at the time is located in space, i.e. above Karman line, 100 km above the Earth surface.
- Both orbital and suborbital flights qualify.
- The account posting the question or comment has to be tied to a real person of whom it is publicly known that they were in space at the time.
- If you are in space right now, please leave a comment under this question, this will simplify the resolution.
- If I happen to fly to space while this question is not yet resolved, I will attempt to do it there.
- I do not bet on my own questions.