Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHe will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator 89.6%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète4 mai 24, 02:42 UTC31 déc. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRègles
If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.
- If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company.
- If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 75,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,1 k €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be true about the person who creates AGI? ?
- Manifold Markets cote He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator à 90% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be true about the person who creates AGI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be true about the person who creates AGI? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment What will be true about the person who creates AGI? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.