Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAfter a week in theaters have sell less than half the tickets of Nolan version in the same timeframe 79.7%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète24 juil. 26, 16:06 UTC1 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the movie is cancelled all questions that aren't specifically about release get resolved N/A. The same happens if the movie hasn't seen a wide US release by 2030 (I'll consider a extension if there is a clear and believable release date - let's say we've been getting actual trailers and teasers that aren't just Elon playing with Grok)
- Context: https://www.the-express.com/entertainment/movies/212504/elon-musk-odyssey-mel-gibson
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
AI
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- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be true about Elon Musk-funded Mel Gibson Odyssey movie? ?
- Manifold Markets cote After a week in theaters have sell less than half the tickets of Nolan version in the same timeframe à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be true about Elon Musk-funded Mel Gibson Odyssey movie? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be true about Elon Musk-funded Mel Gibson Odyssey movie? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment What will be true about Elon Musk-funded Mel Gibson Odyssey movie? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If the movie is cancelled all questions that aren't specifically about release get resolved N/A. The same happens if the movie hasn't seen a wide US release by 2030 (I'll consider a extension if there is a clear and believable release date - let's say we've been getting actual trailers and teasers that aren't just Elon playing with Grok)