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What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case

IA13a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention 28.5%

En tête parmi 4 options

Prévisionnistes

6

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

0.0 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 13 heures

Obsolète

22 août 25, 13:55 UTC1 janv. 40, 14:52 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves when the ICJ issues its final merits Judgment in Case 192, “Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
Israel).” Source for resolution: the ICJ case page (Judgment document once posted). https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
Exactly one option resolves Yes, using this precedence:
Genocide — If the Court finds Israel internationally responsible for committing genocide under Article II (by its organs/agents or conduct attributable to the state), this option resolves Yes; all others No. Resolution is based solely on the final Judgment’s dispositive paragraphs. https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
the named outcome — If the Court finds any breach other than Article III(c) (e.g., failure to prevent or punish genocide under Article I, complicity Art.

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case ?: Manifold Markets cote No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention à 29% au 10 septembre 2026.
Quand What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case sera-t-il résolu ?: What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
Comment What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

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