What will be the outcome of Annie Altman’s lawsuit against Sam Altman? (Altman v. Altman)
One-OffCriminalité et justiceManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Dismissal (70.9%)
Résolu: 20 oct. 2026, 15:11
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 oct. 2026, 04:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Judgment in favor of plaintiff7.5%
Judgment in favor of defendant20.6%
Dismissal70.9%
Other1.1%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QDczBduZorG4dxZiW/sam-altman-s-sister-annie-altman-claims-sam-has-severely https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770
- https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69520118/altman-v-altman/
- My understanding is that the three options I have added cover all possible outcomes; I will add more if and only if I learn that this is not the case.
