Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030?
ChineOne-OffCriminalité et justice3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61%
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4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard12 déc. 24, 15:49 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Taken seriously by the court
- Specifically cite global catastrophic risk, risk to humanity, or something equivalent
- May be against a company, person, or government
- Must be against a meaningful attempt to build AGI (current frontier labs count).
- A lawsuit that a government that isn't developing AGI isn't doing enough to govern it, doesn't count.
- Doesn't have to be in a US court, but China is excluded.
