Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl)

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl) ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 76.6% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl) sera-t-il résolu ?

Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.

Comment Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl) est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : single, connected incident (not a gradual process)

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

JSON gratuit pour ce marché, sans clé API :

Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-0.3pt92.9%
• Anthropic-0.9pt7.1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,2 M €

Volume 24h

92,3 k €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.4pt56%
• Gemini-4.3pt33.5%
• ChatGPT-0.9pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.8pt19.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.0pt19.6%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+5.0pt55%
• Google-4.0pt37%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6%

+12 résultats de plus

• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Best AI this week
• OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?