What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleA book in the main ASOIAF series (ie a sequel to “A Dance with Dragons”, eg “The Winds of Winter”) 49.2%En tête parmi 6 options
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
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Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 25, 17:11 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
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Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
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KalshiRègles
George R. R. Martin has released a number of works in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” (ASOIAF) universe since his 1996 novel “A Game of Thrones”.
- The most recent work in the universe was “Fire & Blood”, an in-universe history book published in 2018, while the main series of ASOIAF novels is still unfinished, with five of a projected seven novels published.
- Martin’s age (he was born in 1948) and slow progress with the books has led to concerns among fans that the main series and “Dunk and Egg” novellas will not be finished.
- This market resolves to the next book or story (eg a short story in an anthology) officially written by Martin (possibly with a collaborator or collaborators) and released within his lifetime.
- Books and stories must have substantial new content (eg a book consisting of an extract of “Fire & Blood” would not count), though they may overlap (eg a second volume of “Fire & Blood” would likely have some content in common with “The World of Ice and Fire”).
- An official release is needed, so leaks would not count.