Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2028 26%En tête parmi 12 options
2028 26%Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète4 juil. 24, 18:19 UTC12 juil. 35, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple's net profit in Q1 2027 exceed 2026's Q1?
FutuurBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
- Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year.
- Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
- We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
- If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "the named outcome".