Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 55.4%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 nov. 23, 00:12 UTC6 déc. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in capabilities in the next 5 years (a paradigm shifting technical discovery) will they publish an accompanying paper within a year of the discovery of the discovery, as opposed to keeping the discovery confidential.
- Resolves to my understanding of whether an advancement takes place, and the presence or lack of an accompanying paper that sufficiently aids others in replicating the methodology used in the OpenAI advancement, like google's transformers paper does.
