Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 70.8%
Non 70.8%Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète25 nov. 24, 19:03 UTC31 déc. 99, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
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Manifold MarketsWill I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketSydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.
