What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates?

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 97.4% au 19 octobre 2026.

Quand What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates? sera-t-il résolu ?

What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2124.

Comment What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves NO on January 1st, 2124.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-2.0pt86%
• 25 bps increase+3.0pt14%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

44,5 M €

Volume 24h

2,4 M €

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate86.5%
• Hike 25bps13.5%
• Hike >25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+2.0pt76.5%
• No change19.6%
• 50+ bps increase-0.2pt2.9%

+2 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

• 25 bps increase+50.0pt67.3%
• No Change-51.2pt32.6%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in January?

• No change+2.0pt63.7%
• 25 bps increase-1.0pt33.3%
• 25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%

+2 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 résultats de plus

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