Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.6%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 janv. 26, 20:51 UTC18 sept. 26, 19:50 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis)
Manifold MarketsWill Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
People are divided over whether the footage shows him actually being impacted by her car, or only nearly impacted.
- Resolves YES on confirmation from a reliable source that he was injured, NO on confirmation from a reliable source that he was not.
- Since "reliable source" may be subjective, I will not bet on this market.
- Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of "injured": A scrape or bruise from vehicle impact would be sufficient for YES resolution.
- However, the market will resolve NO if very clear reliable sources confirm he was not injured, even if there's speculation about unreported minor injuries.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Was the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Was the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Was the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured? doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Was the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : People are divided over whether the footage shows him actually being impacted by her car, or only nearly impacted.