Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
No Charges Filed 77.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 26, 00:40 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:34 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any charges be filed against a ICE/CBP agent who shot Alex Pretti? (Minneapolis)
Manifold MarketsAny charges filed against the Border Patrol agent who shot and killed Alex Pretti? (Jan 24, Minneapolis)
Manifold MarketsWill Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
On January 7, 2026, Renee Nicole Good was shot and killed by an ICE agent in Minneapolis.
- Resolution is determined by whether the ICE agent, Jonathan Ross, is officially charged with a crime by any State or Federal prosecutor before December 31, 2026.
- Because prosecutors often file multiple charges, the answers in this market are independent.
- This means if the agent is charged with multiple crimes (e.g. Murder and Obstruction) multiple answers will resolve YES.
- Resolves YES for any degree of murder (1st, 2nd, or 3rd) under State or Federal law.
- Manslaughter
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No Charges Filed à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis) doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On January 7, 2026, Renee Nicole Good was shot and killed by an ICE agent in Minneapolis.