Was Russian nuclear submarine K-186 Omsk seriously damaged or destroyed on or about August 26, 2026?
One-OffEspaceGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine5jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 61%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète16 sept. 26, 15:31 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:29 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market concerns Russian nuclear submarine K-186 Omsk and the unexplained explosion reported near Volchanets/Vostok Bay, Primorsky Krai, on August 26, 2026.
- Resolve YES if credible evidence establishes that K-186 Omsk was destroyed, sank, or suffered damage on or about August 26 that rendered it unable to continue normal operational service.
- Resolve NO if credible independent evidence establishes that Omsk remained operational after August 26, including a clearly dated photograph/video, identifiable satellite imagery, independently corroborated port appearance, or other convincing evidence of normal post-incident operations.
- A Russian Ministry of Defence or Pacific Fleet statement by itself will not be sufficient to resolve NO unless independently corroborated.
- If neither outcome can be established by December 31, 2026, resolve N/A.
