Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TechOne-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 17:41 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria