Will China restrict exports of gallium on December 31, 2026?
One-OffMatières premièresPolitique commercialeChine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète28 sept. 26, 19:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on gallium and gallium compounds (HS 811292).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
