Will China restrict exports of arsenic trichloride or gallium arsenide on December 31, 2026?
Matières premièresOne-OffChine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88%
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Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 sept. 26, 19:57 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement scoped exactly to arsenic trichloride, HS 2812191010, or gallium arsenide and indium gallium arsenide under items 3C001.e and 3C001.f.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
