Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 17:58 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The Wagerup gallium plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually.
- This market resolves YES if production in the trailing twelve months (T12M) as of Q2 2027 exceeds 10 tonnes.
- Resolution will be based on Alcoa's official quarterly or annual production reports, or verified third-party sources reporting Wagerup gallium output.
- The market resolves NO if T12M production as of Q2 2027 is 10 tonnes or below.
- Alcoa's Wagerup gallium plant is located at the Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with development supported by Japan Australia Gallium Associates (JAGA), a joint venture between the Japanese government and Sojitz, through a Joint Development Agreement signed with Alcoa in August 2025.
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 395,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 395,6 k €
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 198,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 198,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 78,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 78,5 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
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- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027 doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria