Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 19:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Alcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsWagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Wagerup's alumina production in 2026 exceeds 2.5 million tonnes (2,500 kt).
- Resolution will be determined by Alcoa's official 2026 annual production figures, which should be disclosed in quarterly earnings reports or annual sustainability reports available on Alcoa's investor relations website (https://news.alcoa.com).
- Wagerup Refinery has a capacity of 2.9 million tonnes per year and is the second largest producer of alumina in the AWAC global joint venture between Alumina Limited and Alcoa.
- In Q3 2025, alumina production increased 4 percent sequentially to 2.5 million metric tons, primarily due to higher output from Australian refineries with lower maintenance in the quarter.
- An efficiency project aims to enable the two existing refinery production units to achieve approximately 3.3 million tonnes per annum, up from the current licensed capacity of 2.85 Mtpa.
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 414,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 126,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9 k €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
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- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria