Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
RégulationOne-OffLatin America3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 19:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsWill Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Alcoa's 2025 alumina segment production guidance is 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons.
- This market resolves YES if Alcoa's reported 2026 full-year alumina segment production exceeds 9.5 million metric tons (9,500 kt).
- Resolution will be based on Alcoa's official earnings reports and SEC filings, specifically the full-year 2026 production figures disclosed in their Q4 2026 earnings release or annual 10-K filing.
- The market resolves NO if production is 9.5 Mt or below.
- Alcoa operates six refineries in Australia, Brazil and Spain with installed capacity of 17 million metric tons per year.
Marchés ouverts
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
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- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria