Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.1%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
26 nov. 25, 05:13 UTC28 avr. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution Use the first USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries “Iron and Steel Slag” that includes 2026 world data:
- Take the midpoint of the world iron slag range (from BF pig iron) and the midpoint of the world steel slag range (from steel furnaces).
- Let TOTAL_2026 = iron_mid_2026 + steel_mid_2026.
- YES if TOTAL_2026 > 595 Mt, otherwise NO
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the first USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries report that includes 2026 world data shows combined global iron and steel slag output exceeding 595 million tonnes.
