Prévision communautaire actuelle
1.55 - 1.6 27.2%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète27 août 25, 03:28 UTC1 mars 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rise above 1.7 at any time during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Lower bounds inclusive, upper bounds exclusive.
- Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on data for the year 2030 (not whatever data is available in March 2030).
- The close date may be extended if OWID has not yet published 2030 data by the original close date.
- Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If OWID is not available to publish 2030 data, the market will resolve by attempting to replicate OWID's sources and methodology as closely as possible.
