US passes $500B+ "AI unemployment" stimulus by 2029?
FedOne-OffÉconomieIAPolitiquePolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.1%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard26 nov. 25, 15:11 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Règles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2029, the US federal government enacts a stimulus package of at least $500 billion in projected net fiscal cost whose primary stated purpose is to mitigate large‑scale unemployment or worker displacement attributed to artificial intelligence or automation.
- What counts as a qualifying “stimulus package”?
- For this market:
- It must be federal legislation (an Act of Congress signed by the President or enacted over a veto) that:
- Is commonly described in official and media coverage as an “economic stimulus,” “relief,” or similar package; and
- Has a projected net fiscal cost of ≥ $500 billion over its official budget window, based on CBO, OMB, or broadly accepted estimates.
