Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.4%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète26 mars 24, 06:25 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Manifold MarketsDiscord monthly active usership <100M Q4 2029?
Manifold MarketsLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpotify total monthly active users in 2026
KalshiSpotify monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if Twitter (or X) crosses one billion monthly active users before 2030.
- Must be corroborated by at least 2 independent sources.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 961,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 701,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 907,2 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if Twitter (or X) crosses one billion monthly active users before 2030.