Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 13:36 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 59.5%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète5 mai 25, 17:59 UTC1 janv. 30, 18:55 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of insider trading by any Trump administration official for the events of April 9th.
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during the Trump administration, any official economic data released by the administration is demonstrably proven to be misleading or false.
- This includes instances where:
- Economic statistics are intentionally manipulated.
- Independent fact-checking organizations or reputable media outlets provide evidence of false economic data published by the administration.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such instances are verified during the Trump administration or the following year into the next administration.
