Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 07:40 UTC6 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "the fate of humanity depend on" spaceethics.org/elifism "already in a few years"?
Manifold MarketsWill IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)
Manifold MarketsIn 5 years, will we see "dozens of cures every month as opposed to every few years"?
Manifold MarketsWhat years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.