Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard4 juin 25, 21:32 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsFord US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Kalshi🚘🔋🔌⛽️ When will battery electric vehicle sales exceed those of hybrid electric vehicles in the US?
Manifold MarketsWill low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market predicts whether sales to fleet operators will account for more than 30% of Tesla's total vehicle sales by the end of 2027.
- Currently, Tesla's sales are primarily to individual consumers.
- Source Resolution will be based on Tesla's official sales data for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027.
- Update 2026-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cybercabs and other vehicles transferred to Tesla's robotaxi division do not count as fleet sales for the purposes of this market's resolution.