Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète4 juin 25, 21:32 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiRègles
This market predicts whether sales to fleet operators will account for more than 30% of Tesla's total vehicle sales by the end of 2027.
- Currently, Tesla's sales are primarily to individual consumers.
- Source Resolution will be based on Tesla's official sales data for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027.
- Update 2026-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cybercabs and other vehicles transferred to Tesla's robotaxi division do not count as fleet sales for the purposes of this market's resolution.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 961,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 701,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 907,2 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
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- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market predicts whether sales to fleet operators will account for more than 30% of Tesla's total vehicle sales by the end of 2027.