Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?
PolitiqueOne-OffCriminalité et justiceSociété et culture8aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.4%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 mai 24, 11:25 UTC25 mai 35, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES is someone changes the physical world to win profits on manifold markets before 2035.
- Threshold criteria:
- someone must do something single-handedly that could swing the claim.
- The action must happen in the physical world rather than the digital world.
- The person must make money or mana off of it.
- The incident should be notable enough that it makes the news or lands in the courts.
