Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète4 août 25, 18:19 UTC2 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
HIRE Act passes by 2026
Manifold Markets120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItRègles
The SCREEN act, introduced by senator Mike Lee, would require ID verification to access "obscene material" (similar to the UK's recently-passed Online Safety Act).
- Will it, or a similar bill with a different name, pass during the 119th congress?
- https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/737/text
