120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
John Thune · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
John Thune 88%En tête parmi 7 options
John Thune 88%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
1,5 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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John ThuneÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
9 oct. 26, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · John Thune
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Règles
If John Thune has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. Senate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
Règles de chaque résultat
- John Thune
- If John Thune has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rick Scott
- If Rick Scott has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Barrasso
- If John Barrasso has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Lee
- If Mike Lee has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ron Johnson
- If Ron Johnson has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Hawley
- If Josh Hawley has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Cotton
- If Tom Cotton has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
