Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
PolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrat 93%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 21:24 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PolymarketWill the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The 120th Congress will be sworn in in early January 2027 following the November 3, 2026 House elections.
- The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of seats in the House of Representatives when the 120th Congress convenes. 218 seats are needed for a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records at house.gov.
- Republicans currently hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
- Democrats need to gain a net of three districts to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two districts to retain a majority.
