Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
Politique4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRepublican 51.4%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
12 janv. 26, 21:27 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
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Metaculus119th Congress legislative combo
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- Senators elected in the November 3, 2026 elections will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2027, marking the start of the 120th Congress.
- The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of Senate seats on that date.
- Senate control requires 51 seats or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency.
- Resolution can be verified via official Senate records at senate.gov.
- As a result of the 2024 general elections, Republicans won a 53-45 majority in the Senate, with two independents caucusing with the Democrats.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Republican à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027? doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria