120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Jim Jordan · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Jim Jordan 73%En tête parmi 5 options
Jim Jordan 73%Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
5,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Jim JordanÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
9 oct. 26, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Jim Jordan
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItRègles
If Jim Jordan has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. House Republican leader means the top post the House Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Republicans win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Jim Jordan
- If Jim Jordan has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Johnson
- If Mike Johnson has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Steve Scalise
- If Steve Scalise has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Emmer
- If Tom Emmer has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- August Pfluger
- If August Pfluger has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
