Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.4%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 18:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where:
- The election is for the office of President of Venezuela
- Voting occurs (whether the election is considered free/fair internationally is not relevant for resolution)
- The election is officially conducted by Venezuelan governmental authorities
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Venezuelan governmental authorities" means whatever authority controls the territory of Venezuela, including:
