Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitiqueAmérique latine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète20 déc. 25, 20:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 21:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Description: This market resolves to YES if the government of Brazil officially reinstates visa-free entry for United States citizens for tourism/business purposes at any point between 1 January 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- It resolves to NO if the eVisa (or a traditional visa) remains mandatory for US citizens throughout the entirety of 2026.
- Current Status: Since April 10, 2025, US citizens require an eVisa to enter Brazil.
- Legislative Uncertainty: The Brazilian Senate has previously voted to suspend this new measure, but that requires approval from the Chamber of Deputies and presidential sanction/veto considerations to become law.
- 2026 Outlook: Current consular guidance states that throughout 2026, "You cannot just show up with a USA passport anymore when travel to Brazil."
- This market tracks if that policy holds or is overturned.
