If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionAmérique latine13hManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.5%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
9 mars 24, 22:33 UTC31 oct. 26, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Mexico border seats will Dems win in the house?
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FutuurRègles
The resolution source is the Southwest Land Border Encounters series by the US border Patrol.
- [image]If Trump does not win the US 2024 elections, this market resolves N/A. I will use the number shown on the site upon release of the data for all of FY 2025.
- Note that it appears that this dataset does get updated retroactively.
- The earliest available data will be used (excluding projections)
- Partner market for Biden:
